SeattleDec 28, 2017
IntelGucciGucci

2018 real estate market

What do you guys think will haopen to 2018 seattle market? Think it will be As hot as 2017? And any good areas to invest? Im lookimg in to SE Seattle where gentrification is still going on (Columbia city, hillman city, othello, south park, rainier beach). What do you guys think?

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Cableguy Dec 28, 2017

Prices start going down this year because China restricting moving assets abroad and visa restrictions (H1B fastlane, removing work permits from spouses etc.)

Amazon day1465 Dec 28, 2017

False

Amazon ty333oo Dec 28, 2017

Yeah...this isn’t true.

Microsoft Ohsas Dec 28, 2017

Inventory is very low, interest rates are low, demand high. No signs of a slow down yet. Pending some event.

Pandora dipthong Dec 28, 2017

For god sakes get in the game. Do not hesitate or else the market will go up another 11%. My Seattle house has appreciated 32% in theee years.

Intel GucciGucci OP Dec 28, 2017

Damn. Its already so expensive tho. Which neoghborhood should i invest in?

Salesforce Bonghu Dec 28, 2017

Bothell Redmond Bellevue Lynnwood issaquah

Microsoft Key-Talent Dec 28, 2017

we are in a bubble going higher.

Amazon eek a 🐁 Dec 28, 2017

HQ2 will put a damper on it

Microsoft yudhs Dec 28, 2017

Except Amazon has 8 million square feet of space occupied and 12 million square feet of space leased and under contract - that's 50% growth here that's already committed <shrug>

Amazon eek a 🐁 Dec 28, 2017

I think Amazon will sublet that. I bet a lot of that was negotiated before hq2 was planned.

Microsoft yudhs Dec 28, 2017

It's going to keep rising. Our population is increasing by 1000 people a week. PwC has published a real estate trends report every year for the last 40 years. Guess who's on top for 2018? Seattle. This new tax plan further increases the incentive for tech to move to WA from CA. Existing mortgages are grandfathered so you'll see further supply drops.

Apple DEADBEEF🍻 Dec 28, 2017

There will be a slowdown in the Bay Area. Homes will sell at asking rather than bidding wars. Homes will be on the market longer. Owning a home will lose some appeal here due to the tax changes. More people will leave the area for cheaper cost of living. This should put less pressure on rents as well. LA housing will probably correct down. Seattle will still have a strong housing appreciation, but it will slow down and correct probably in 2019. Housing appreciation and growth will instead transfer to Texas. Houston, Dallas, and San Antionio will see large growth. Austin is peaked and won’t grow as fast. Obviously the dark horse is whichever city gets HQ2. That’s the only news I really care about, because I’m buying 1-2 homes in that market.

Microsoft shshsgi Dec 28, 2017

In the Bay area the tax plan has significant impacts largely due to the state tax using up all of the 10K limit. WA has no state tax, so the tax plan actually saves the average person in tech a significant bundle and has no impact on SEA housing. The grandfathering of existing mortgages may limit supply on more expensive homes, but this will be a secondary effect. Overall, I agree - you'll see strong price appreciation in Seattle through 2020.

Microsoft shshsgi Dec 28, 2017

If HQ2 ends up in Canada then it'll be irritating to buy a house there. Are there any other ways to get real estate exposure to Hq2 city - REITS?

Expedia godot Dec 28, 2017

Bryn Mawr/ Lake Ridge neighborhoods down by Rainer beach. They aren't good for quick flips but for long term rentals it'll be solid for you.

Intel GucciGucci OP Dec 29, 2017

You think so? That area is ghetto to the max.

Expedia godot Jan 4, 2018

On the hill facing lake Washington you'll find some nice neighborhoods with mid century modern houses, perfect for holding for the long term

Amazon Marshmal00 Dec 28, 2017

Seattle is the New Bay Area. Jump on it while you can still afford it. In 10-15 years you’ll thank me with your ridiculous return. Neighborhoods that are white trash/too far will become extremely attractive.

Intel GucciGucci OP Dec 29, 2017

Any siggestions? Thinking about investing in Rainier beach

Amazon Marshmal00 Dec 29, 2017

North Kirkland / Finn Hill and/or Bothell. In 2-3 years Bothell is going to be the new Issaquah. These are still somewhat accessible and are going to explode

Microsoft shshsgi Dec 28, 2017

Op, here's Redfin's CEO's opinion: Redfin CEO predicts exodus from CA to WA. "If Kelman were to invest in the housing market in one of these emerging cities, Seattle, San Antonio, Denver, and Houston would be his top picks" Quote 12/28: "More people will move to Seattle, in part driven by tax reform. Many will be from California" https://www.geekwire.com/2017/redfins-glenn-kelman-predicts-mass-tech-exodus-coastal-cities/